It’s Opening Day, and you know what that means. It’s time for our annual most mockable post of the year: Pre-season predictions!
Eighteen of Purple Row’s finest associates took the poll,the same as last year. Last year’s very educated guesses were pretty good. Most people picked theRockiesto win 84 games, which wasn’t far from their eventual 87, and there was general optimism that the club would compete. Only one person picked them to win fewer than 80 games.
When asked to predict a win total for the season, the average came out to 90 wins. That result, however, is skewed because one joker (there’s always a joker) picked the Rockies to win 162 games. After consulting with a statistician, the person informed me that I had two options: Either ignore the hell out of the joker or use median instead of average. Because statistics work, both results come out pretty much the same: The staff believes the Rockies will win about 85 games. Again, the most pessimistic person selected 78 wins.
There’s optimism again in this year’s poll, but there’s not necessarilymoreoptimism, at least when it comes to regular season wins. More people this year do think the Rockies are going to win theWorld Series—three as opposed to one. (One person from last year predicted that theAstroswould win the World Series, but because it was Connor we’re withholding accolades.)
We also dove in to some bold predictions this year. They shake out in to a few dominant areas.
First, there’s theTrevor StoryandRyan McMahonoptimism category. Two people guessed that Story will accrue more than 5 WAR, and another person landed on the oddly specific prediction that “he’ll slash around .289/.352/.590” with more than 30 homers and 15 stolen bases with fewer than 150 strikeouts in 150 games played. Yet another predicted that Story will hit more than 30 home runs while also batting .300, and another thinks he’ll lead the team in home runs. In theMcMahonoptimism category, three people think he’ll win the Rookie of the Year, and another less than bold predictions puts him finishing in the top 5. With McMahon, there’s hope, but with Story, there are expectations.
The “will up his game” category includes perhaps the Rockies’ two best players,Jon Grayand Nolan Arenado. For Gray, 20 wins, 17 strikeouts in one game, 215 strikeouts for the season, and a top 5 finish for the Cy Young award are the standout predictions, any of which would be just swell. For Arenado, it’s all about having his best season at the ripe age of 27 and winning the NL MVP, which four people predicted.
There are not a lot of pessimistic bold predictions, except maybe for the Carlos González will get DFA’d by the All-Star Break one, which is as possible as it is sad. That one, at least, is balanced by the prediction that CarGo will have an OPS+ over 110.
Ultimately, the two safest predictions are that something weird will happen that nobody here is predicting, and that tonight, the Rockies will play real, live, meaningful baseball. Thank goodness for both.
Engel & Völkers is one of the world’s leading service companies specialized in the brokerage of premium residential property, commercial real estate, yachts, and aircraft. Based in over 800 locations in total, Engel & Völkers offers both private and institutional clients a professionally tailored range of services. Consultancy, sales, and leasing form the core competencies of the staff of more than 11,000 people. The Company is currently operating in over 30 countries on five continents.
Since 1977, we have been the select provider of high-end premium real estate services throughout Europe, Asia, and North America. We use the latest technologies, manage an extensive network of exclusive listings and potential buyers, partner with influential media outlets, and employ the highest-caliber agents who strive to represent our distinguished brand.
Our style o f doing business originates from our early success as a luxury property agency. We maintain the same standards of quality and service in everything we do.
Engel & Völkers, Real Estate Advisors Representing And Promoting The World’s Finest Properties Since 1977
33 Countries | 11,000+ Real Estate Advisors | 800+ Shops | 5 Continents
If you're a homeowner, the internet can be a great source of comfort w
"We cannot thank Jim & Julie and the team at Ion Real Estate enough!!! We were very impressed with Jim's knowledge of the business and his drive to find us our perfect home; from the lender-side and how to get the best deal to the realtor-side and everything in between. As first time home buyers we really appreciated Jim's direction in gathering everything we would need. In addition to Jim's wonderful guidance, Julie was exceptional to work with too. She was always willing to listen to our concerns and was very encouraging on our journey hunting down our first home. She is so dedicated that she found us "our" home during the holidays and we were under contract by New Year's, which was a great way to start off the new year. She found us our dream home, in a great location and we couldn't be happier. I always recommend Jim, Julie and Ion whenever someone I know says they are looking to buy or sell their home. Go with Ion, they make dreams come true.
Ana & Marc G